|
2008 Kentucky Annual
Economic Report |
||
Full Document |
|
|
Contents Abstracts and PDF (click the icon) version of individual
articles. |
||
|
The Role of a Market Economy in Promoting Economic Well Being: How is Kentucky Doing? |
||
| John Garen and Carlos Lopes | ||
|
This article discusses the role
of a market economy in generating higher standards of living and formulates
an initial assessment of how Kentucky fares in this regard. We review the
familiar evidence regarding Kentucky’s income and productivity, discuss
important aspects of market economies that lead to greater incomes, and
present an overview of evidence regarding how Kentucky does in embracing the
aspects of market economies that promote material well being. Our overview
suggests that Kentucky falls short of doing so in several important
respects. Our tax burden is not especially low and is weighted toward income
rather than property taxes. Spending authority is centralized at the state
rather than local level. Control of primary and secondary education is
chiefly at the state level and we have failed to adopt important reforms
such as charter schools and vouchers. The income penalties for the
able-bodied poor to work are quite severe for some income levels. Each of
these represents a failure to adopt the income-enhancing aspects of markets
and market-like incentives and likely impede Kentucky’s progress in raising
standards of living.
|
||
|
Changes in Educational Spending in Kentucky Since KERA and HB1 |
||
| Kenneth Troske | ||
|
The decade of the 1990s saw
major new legislation in Kentucky designed to improve public schooling in
the state—the Kentucky Education Reform Act (KERA) and the Kentucky
Post-Secondary Education Improvement Act or House Bill 1 (HB1). In this
study I examine how spending on education in Kentucky changed over time
using data that spans the period over which the legislation was enacted. I
also compare spending in Kentucky with spending in other states to see
whether Kentucky is "catching-up" with these other states. I find since KERA
real spending on K-12 education has increased very little in the State and
that spending on primary and secondary education in Kentucky remains below
spending in states that border Kentucky and below spending in the typical
state in the country. In contrast, there appears to have been a rather
dramatic increase in spending on higher education in Kentucky since the
passage of HB1. Currently Kentucky is spending at least as much as the
average state in the country on higher education and is spending more than
the average of our border states. Finally, I find that, relative to total
government expenditures, total spending on education has fallen in Kentucky
while the share of overall education expenditures going to higher education
has risen. Kentucky is now devoting a smaller share of total government
spending to education and has increased spending on higher education while
decreasing the share of spending on primary and secondary education.
|
||
| Kentucky Health Insurance Coverage, 2002-2006: A Complicated Picture? | ||
| Aaron Yelowitz | ||
|
Rising health care costs and
growing numbers of uninsured are key policy issues in both Kentucky and
nationally. This study evaluates how health insurance coverage in Kentucky
changed during Governor Ernie Fletcher's term. Although insurance coverage
fell overall, the picture is complicated with some groups making gains and
others losing ground. In terms of uninsured, Kentucky fell from 28th to
33rd, with the percentage uninsured rising from 13.6% to 15.6% from 2002 to
2006. Insurance coverage for children improved, due to increasing private
coverage. Coverage for young adults worsened significantly, due to falling
public coverage.
|
||
| Enhancing Financial Transaction Efficiency: Electronic and Plastic Options | ||
| Merl Hackbart, Dwight Denison & Wie Yusuf | ||
|
Many payments that traditionally were made by cash or check are now being made electronically through the Federal Reserve’s Automated Clearing House (ACH) or through private electronic payment networks such as Visa or MasterCard using credit or debit cards. Electronic transactions in the public sector have lagged behind the private sector but there has been significant growth in recent years. Electronic payments are used for the procurement of goods and services by government agencies as well as for the collection of taxes and fees. This paper summarizes the results of two recent studies regarding the use of these payment options by state governments. The studies sponsored by the Association of Government Accountants and the Council of State Governments found that the use of purchase cards has become "common practice" for the procurement of small items by state agencies. Meanwhile, the use of electronic payments for the collection of taxes and fees is increasing but faces a series of policy issues described in this report.
|
||
| The Economy in 2007: Slowing Down, but Still Going | ||
| Christopher Jepsen and Jenny Minier | ||
|
The U.S. economy grew faster than expected during much of 2007, despite a prolonged slowdown in the housing market and the related sub-prime mortgage crisis, crude oil prices approaching $100 a barrel, and declining consumer confidence. In this article, we discuss economic events in Kentucky and the U.S. as a whole during 2007, and their implications for the state and national economies in 2008. With some caveats, we are confident that both economies will continue growing in 2008 at moderate – but not spectacular – rates.
|
||
| KAM Business Manufacturing Confidence Survey | ||
| Kylie Goggins | ||
|
The Kentucky Manufacturing Business Confidence Survey is produced each year through the joint efforts of the Kentucky Association of Manufacturers and the Center for Business and Economic Research. The survey asks businesses to report on their actual performance over the past year and to make predictions for the next year in areas such as employment, sales, profits, capital expenditures and industry production. Among other finding, the 2007 survey reveals a slow down in growth compared to previous years. This is consistent with last year’s prediction that business performance was unlikely to show much improvement in 2007. Last year’s survey did reflect the highest percentages of businesses reporting an increase in business performance to date. Those high numbers last year likely reflected the stabilization of the growth that began with the economic recovery that started in 2001. This year we see a very different picture as the number of manufacturers that report increases in business performance indicators dropped to a level last seen in mid-2003. This drop is likely due to problems affecting the overall growth of the state and national economy such as the tightening of the credit market, rising energy prices and a fall in consumer confidence. Since the number of manufacturers that expect a growth in performance has significantly declined, we do not expect conditions to improve next year. We do, however, expect conditions to stabilize as manufacturers adjust to the new business environment.
|
||